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Can Australia fight inflation without making mortgage holders carry the whole burden?

In Part 1 of a three part series argues that inflation is driven by global energy shocks; Australia should consider supplementary tools that can restrain demand while helping households build equity; reduce commuting costs and become more resilient to future price shocks.

Illustration: Hawkesbury Gazette. Data sources: ABS 2021 Census and relevant Hawkesbury local data.

COMMENTARY AND OPINION

The Reserve Bank has lifted the cash rate to 4.60 per cent after warning that several of the upside inflation risks it identified in August 2026 are now materialising.

Global energy prices are higher than the RBA had assumed, technology-related goods prices are rising quickly, and domestic capacity pressures remain.

Monetary policy is just the RBA’s fancy word for the framework through which the RBA influences interest rates, credit conditions and demand across the economy. Right now, they are tightening policy which means they are lifting rates to slow down spending and lower demand for goods and services.

That tightening places additional pressure on households with mortgages and businesses with debt. It also inevitably becomes part of the political debate over cost of living, even though responsibility for inflation is spread across domestic demand, global supply shocks and other economic forces.

But the RBA's decision to lower demand also exposes a structural weakness in the way it manages inflation. RBA still relies heavily on a tool designed to suppress demand even when part of the price shock comes from overseas supply.

The idea here is that if consumers are charged more on interest then they will have less money to spend which correspondingly means less buying, less travel, less overall demand, and ultimately slower price growth and therefore lower inflation.

This highlights a classic dilemma in monetary policy: interest rates are a blunt policy instrument. When inflation is driven by supply-side shocks such as the recent global shipping bottlenecks, or wars disrupting energy supplies, raising interest rates cannot fix the underlying supply shortage. It cannot produce more oil, nor can it open up a shipping route or repair an international supply chain.

An interest-rate rise can reduce your spending but it cannot produce another barrel of oil, reopen a shipping route or repair an international supply chain

In this article, I explore whether Australia can broaden its policy toolkit without weakening the RBA’s mandate or abandoning monetary tightening.

This is not an argument about which government caused inflation, nor is it an argument against the independence of the Reserve Bank. Rather, it asks whether Australia’s existing policy framework gives governments, the RBA and other institutions enough complementary tools when part of the inflation problem originates from external supply shocks.

My proposal: Equity based monetary policy

I propose that all sides of politics, policymakers, economists, regulators and the banking sector examine what I call equity-based monetary policy.

During exceptional inflation episodes, instead of delivering the entire household tightening effect through higher interest costs, part of the adjustment could potentially occur through compulsory mortgage principal reduction or a locked mortgage-linked savings mechanism.

The principle is simple. If a household must temporarily lose spending power to help cool demand, some of that sacrifice could remain on the household balance sheet as lower debt or locked savings, rather than all of it becoming an additional interest expense.

For mortgage holders, equity-based monetary tightening would work like compulsory saving. It would still reduce their ability to spend and therefore restrain demand, but instead of increasing the household’s interest burden, part of the payment would build equity or locked savings.

Higher interest rates strengthen bank income, but they are not the only way to improve financial resilience. Reducing mortgage principal also strengthens the system by lowering household leverage and reducing banks’ credit exposure. If the objective of monetary tightening is to remove spending power from the economy, part of that adjustment could potentially be achieved through compulsory principal reduction rather than entirely through additional interest expense.

There are substantial questions that would need to be resolved, including banking contracts, renters, investors, people without mortgages, liquidity, prudential regulation and the institutional independence of the RBA. And these are reasons to investigate the idea further, rather than reasons not to examine it.

What about the alternatives being discussed online?

Recent Australian finance discussions have raised two other ideas: temporarily increasing compulsory superannuation contributions, or using a higher GST to suppress spending. Both contain a valid economic intuition: inflation can be reduced if current consumption is restrained. But neither is a clean substitute for monetary policy, and both have important weaknesses.

Idea
What is sound about it
Why it is not a complete solution
Temporarily higher compulsory super
It can reduce take-home spending power and increase household saving. RBA and Treasury research on compulsory super finds that it has historically raised aggregate household and national saving, although households offset part of the increase by saving less elsewhere.
Super contributions are invested, not simply quarantined from the financial system. That can support asset prices and capital-market funding, while interest rates work through several additional channels including business borrowing, the exchange rate, credit conditions and asset prices. Higher compulsory contributions can also be particularly difficult for low-income or liquidity-constrained workers, and it does not directly reach retirees, the self-employed or others outside the standard employer contribution system.
A higher GST
If government keeps the extra revenue rather than spending it, a higher consumption tax can reduce private demand and spread the burden beyond mortgage holders.
A GST rise also mechanically raises the price level when introduced. It is relatively blunt, can fall more heavily on lower-income households unless compensated, requires legislation and administrative change, and is difficult to move up and down frequently. If the additional revenue is then spent back into the economy, much of the demand-reduction effect can be offset. It also does not reproduce the credit, investment, asset-price or exchange-rate channels of monetary policy.

The strongest lesson from these alternatives is that the cash-flow burden of fighting inflation could potentially be shared more fairly across Australian households, while recognising that cash flow is only one of the channels through which monetary policy works.

Sources and methodology.
Reserve Bank of Australia, Statement on Monetary Policy, August 2026, especially Financial Conditions and Outlook (Graphs 1.1, 1.11, 3.3, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8 and 3.9; Table 3.1). RBA Monetary Policy Decision, 29 September 2026. The scenario graphics are from my monetary-policy transmission dashboard. Scenario parameters are illustrative and are not official RBA forecasts.

Rosh D’Souza is a Hawkesbury resident and Hawkesbury Gazette contributor. The views expressed are his own.

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